Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 3
AJA
26%
23%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 0
EUP
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
TEL
3 - 4
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
WAA
2 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 0
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
SPA
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |