Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
FCB
9%
16%
75%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 3
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
CEL
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TWE
5 - 2
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
RKC
3 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BVO
2 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |