Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
SBR
1 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 0
SBR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
4 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
6 - 1
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 1
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 3
VIL
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |