Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
FOR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
BVO
4 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
FEY
2 - 2
NAC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
0 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
66%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
FEY
4 - 2
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
FEY
1 - 0
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |