Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
14%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
0 - 0
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AJA
6 - 0
RJC
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
AJA
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
HER
1 - 8
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 1
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
FEY
3 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
BOS
1 - 1
FEY
19%
20%
62%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SCP
3 - 1
FEY
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 0
HFC
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |