Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
5 - 3
FCD
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PSV
4 - 2
AJA
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
SPA
2 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
TWE
4 - 1
ADO
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
UTR
3 - 2
TWE
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
TWE
1 - 1
BOS
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 3
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
FCD
4 - 1
TWE
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -2 |