Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
ZWO
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
FEY
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 2
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
ZWO
5 - 1
TWE
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |