Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
DYN
0 - 0
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
FCE
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
DYN
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VVV
0 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
GRO
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
VIT
5 - 1
GRO
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 0
BRE
22%
22%
57%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |