Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
25%
24%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1994 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBS
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
PSV
1 - 4
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
RBS
0 - 0
AJA
28%
27%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
GRO
1 - 1
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRO
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
GRO
3 - 1
RKC
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
TWE
2 - 2
GRO
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
GRO
1 - 1
FEY
22%
28%
50%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |