Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 2
AZA
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
FEY
4 - 2
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 1
SHA
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |