Aimoré vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aimoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 0
SLU
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 0
AIM
85%
11%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
AIM
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 1
JUV
10%
21%
69%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 0
AIM
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAM
43%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 2
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |