Água Santa vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
AGU
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
NOV
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
PAL
8%
23%
69%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
MAN
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |