Afogados vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 0
AFO
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AFO
1 - 0
FLO
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 2
PPE
10%
20%
70%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
AFO
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
RFC
0 - 1
AFO
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GLO
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
GLO
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GLO
6 - 1
FEL
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 1
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |