AFC Dunstable vs Kempston Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
13º
13º
34
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
AFD
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AFD
0 - 1
HAN
29%
25%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AFD
1 - 1
BIG
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
0 - 1
AFD
16%
21%
64%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
THA
1 - 2
AFD
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CIR
5 - 0
KEM
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 2
KEM
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 2
WAR
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 4
HAD
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 3
KEM
35%
23%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |