Afan Lido vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
LID
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 5
LID
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
LID
3 - 1
TNS
9%
22%
69%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
LID
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
RHY
41%
22%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
71%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
5 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
LLA
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
PRE
2 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |