Afan Lido vs Aberbargoed Buds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 1
LID
68%
16%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAE
4 - 1
LID
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LID
1 - 2
GOY
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
LID
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LID
2 - 2
RIS
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAE
16%
17%
67%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 0
ABE
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 2
ABE
54%
20%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 0
ABE
81%
11%
7%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |