Aerostar Bacău vs FC Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+137%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
9º
8º
27
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
AER
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 1
AER
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
AER
1 - 1
CSM
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TII
2 - 0
AER
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
AER
1 - 2
ACS
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 2
BUC
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ACS
4 - 0
RAP
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 2
ACS
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 1
TII
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 0
ACS
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |