Adriese vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 3
CAL
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
SDA
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 2
MZN
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SDA
4 - 1
LUI
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CJA
1 - 1
SDA
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
MZN
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DCA
0 - 3
VIR
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 1
ARC
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
VIR
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |