Franciacorta vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
USB
1 - 0
ADR
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 1
CRE
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 1
USP
49%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
ADR
20%
21%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 1
FAN
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
DES
3 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |