ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
ADO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 1
ADO
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 1
PSV
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 3
GRO
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
ADO
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
FEY
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |