A-League Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

Adelaide United vs Perth Glory analysis

Adelaide United Perth Glory
72 ELO 62
0.1% Tilt 11%
1357º General ELO ranking 2111º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
58%
Adelaide United
23.3%
Draw
18.7%
Perth Glory

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
Adelaide United
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
Perth Glory
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adelaide United
-13%
-14%
Perth Glory

Points and table prediction

Adelaide United
Their league position
Perth Glory
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
30
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Melbourne City
55
55
100%
Central Coast Mariners
44
44
100%
Adelaide United
42
42
100%
Western Sydney Wanderers
41
41
100%
Sydney FC
38
38
100%
Wellington Phoenix
35
35
100%
Brisbane Roar
30
30
0%
Perth Glory
30
30
0%
Western United FC
30
30
0%
Newcastle Jets
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Melbourne Victory
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Macarthur FC
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Adelaide United
Perth Glory
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adelaide United
Adelaide United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
SYD
Sydney FC
2 - 2
Adelaide United
ADE
36%
27%
38%
72 70 2 0
16 Oct. 2022
MFC
Macarthur FC
2 - 0
Adelaide United
ADE
39%
27%
35%
73 69 4 -1
09 Oct. 2022
WPH
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 1
Adelaide United
ADE
36%
26%
39%
73 68 5 0
31 Aug. 2022
ADE
Adelaide United
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar
BRI
55%
23%
22%
73 67 6 0
17 Aug. 2022
ADE
Adelaide City
2 - 2
Adelaide United
ADE
6%
13%
81%
74 43 31 -1

Matches

Perth Glory
Perth Glory
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
CCM
Central Coast Mariners
1 - 2
Perth Glory
PER
64%
20%
16%
62 70 8 0
15 Oct. 2022
NEW
Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Perth Glory
PER
49%
25%
26%
62 66 4 0
09 Oct. 2022
WES
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 - 0
Perth Glory
PER
46%
25%
28%
63 65 2 -1
14 Sep. 2022
GCK
Gold Coast Knights
0 - 4
Perth Glory
PER
7%
15%
78%
62 40 22 +1
12 May. 2022
NEW
Newcastle Jets
3 - 1
Perth Glory
PER
50%
23%
27%
63 66 3 -1
X