Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
3º
28
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 4
ADE
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 2
ADE
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 0
ADE
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 2
MCI
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |