Adelaide United vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
3º
26
3º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
ADE
43%
24%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 0
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 1
ADE
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
CCM
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
MFC
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
SYD
0 - 3
MFC
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 0
PER
56%
23%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |