AD Nogueirense vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UDL
4 - 0
ADN
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 2
ANA
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
ADN
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
1 - 0
ADN
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 0
OLE
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALV
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 1
VIL
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 1
ALV
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
SIN
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |