ACS Târgu Mures vs Avântul Reghin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
6º
15
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACS Târgu Mures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MED
2 - 1
ACS
10%
16%
74%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 3
MET
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
3 - 2
ACS
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 2
UNI
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 2
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avântul Reghin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
IGA
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MED
1 - 0
AVA
10%
16%
75%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 2
BIS
10%
18%
72%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
AVA
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
ACS
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |