Acqui vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DER
3 - 2
ACQ
50%
25%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ACQ
0 - 3
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
ACQ
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PIN
3 - 2
ACQ
59%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ACQ
0 - 1
LIG
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
SET
30%
27%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
5 - 0
NOV
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 3
GOZ
27%
27%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASD
35%
26%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |