Peñiscola vs Villafames analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+178%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
BNC
2 - 0
PEN
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 2
PEN
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 1
ATZ
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
CHE
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 2
PEN
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
SAJ
3 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 1
BEN
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 0
VIL
13%
17%
71%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
SEM
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 1
VIL
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |