AC Vallemaggia vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 1
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
WOH
0 - 1
LUG
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 4
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 0
FCG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
THU
4 - 4
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |