AC Monza vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
VNZ
1 - 2
ASS
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
USA
3 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 5
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ASS
4 - 1
PAD
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASS
43%
29%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAP
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAP
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 2
MOD
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |