AC Monza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SPA
3 - 1
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 2
ARZ
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
ASS
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 2
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
ASS
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRE
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PAD
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 1
ABN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAD
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |