Cesena vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CES
2 - 1
ABN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
ASC
4 - 0
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CES
3 - 0
MOD
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 0
CAT
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |