Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-2
ABC vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
ABC
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ABC
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 2
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 2
ABC
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
0 - 5
AVA
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ABC
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
VAS
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAS
9%
22%
69%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |