Rafalafena vs Villafames analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+188%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ORP
1 - 1
RAF
16%
20%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 1
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
POB
2 - 3
RAF
14%
19%
68%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RAF
1 - 1
TRA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BNC
0 - 3
RAF
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIN
70%
17%
12%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
BET
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
IBA
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |