Portuguesa vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
ATP
2 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
CRZ
1 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1996 |
POR
3 - 0
CRZ
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
POR
4 - 1
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GRE
2 - 2
GOI
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
GOI
1 - 3
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
PAL
1 - 0
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
GRE
3 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
GRE
1 - 3
GOI
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |