Portuguesa vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 1
POR
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
BOA
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 1
POR
17%
27%
57%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
INT
1 - 1
POR
31%
30%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
BAN
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 1
POR
17%
27%
57%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
BAN
62%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOA
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |