A Merca vs Boado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
MER
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MER
6 - 1
XUN
55%
22%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
MER
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
MAC
23%
22%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 6
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Boado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
1 - 0
BOA
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 0
MAN
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
XUN
0 - 1
BOA
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 1
SAN
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOA
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |