Castelvetro vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SDT
4 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
URI
1 - 0
CAS
34%
23%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 0
ACS
74%
15%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIB
2 - 4
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 3
DEL
21%
24%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 1
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 2
VFC
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SDA
1 - 1
MEZ
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MEZ
1 - 2
IMO
27%
27%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |