Moro vs Orpesa B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NCF
1 - 3
MOR
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
FCA
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CNS
7 - 0
MOR
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
RIB
21%
20%
60%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 3
JAS
50%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Orpesa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ORP
5 - 1
DRA
23%
19%
59%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
ORP
45%
20%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 3
ORP
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ORP
3 - 4
BOR
18%
18%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LAL
4 - 1
ORP
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |