24 de Septiembre vs Mariscal Sucre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+198%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
24 de Septiembre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SEP
4 - 2
WCO
21%
19%
60%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SUC
1 - 1
SEP
86%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mariscal Sucre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SUC
3 - 1
WCO
74%
15%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SUC
1 - 1
SEP
86%
9%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WCO
5 - 0
SUC
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -3 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAC
1 - 0
SUC
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SUC
1 - 1
VAC
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |