1860 München vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 0
MUN
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 1
KOL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
HOF
0 - 3
MUN
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MUN
3 - 1
KAI
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
AUG
2 - 6
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
STP
3 - 1
OFC
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SGF
2 - 1
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
STP
1 - 0
TUS
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CZJ
0 - 1
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
STP
0 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |