1860 München vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
KAI
1 - 3
MUN
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MUN
2 - 2
MON
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
STU
2 - 2
MUN
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
STU
0 - 1
MUN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
MUN
1 - 0
COT
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
KOL
0 - 0
STU
37%
25%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
KOL
0 - 0
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
KFC
1 - 1
KOL
20%
23%
58%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SCF
0 - 0
KOL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
KOL
0 - 2
BVB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |