1 de Marzo de Pilar vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.1%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
89.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
14.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
20.3%
0-4
11.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
14.9%
0-5
7.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
9%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1 de Marzo de Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
CMP
1 - 2
ATY
5%
11%
85%
|
8 | 63 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 0
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |