Union Berlin vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 1
BVB
10%
15%
75%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
STU
2 - 2
FCU
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
BYM
3%
7%
90%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
FCU
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FCU
3 - 3
EIN
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 1
PAD
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 2
EBT
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
BOC
3 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 2
FCN
55%
22%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 0
PAD
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |