Union Berlin vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
85.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
4º
71
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
S04
1 - 6
FCU
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
21%
23%
57%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
M05
0 - 0
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
HAN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VIK
0 - 5
BYM
1%
5%
94%
|
95 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RTV
0 - 7
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 0
WOL
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
EIN
1 - 6
BYM
7%
12%
81%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |