Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RBL
0 - 0
KOL
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
KOL
0 - 4
LEV
14%
19%
67%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
WOL
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
F95
3 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EBT
0 - 2
OSN
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
OSN
1 - 2
KSC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
STP
0 - 1
OSN
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |