Köln vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KOL
4 - 0
SCF
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
KOL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
KOL
0 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KOL
3 - 0
AUG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
M05
0 - 0
HSV
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 2
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
M05
3 - 2
BYM
12%
19%
70%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
M05
3 - 1
STU
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
M05
1 - 3
BRE
23%
22%
55%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |