Zwickau vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
HAL
2 - 2
ZWI
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
ZWI
0 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
BWA
1 - 1
ZWI
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
0 - 1
FVF
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
FCU
2 - 1
ERF
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 0
FCU
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
FCU
0 - 2
BFC
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
SGD
3 - 2
FCU
83%
11%
5%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
FCU
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |