Zvijezda vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
13º
13º
42
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 1
ZBE
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TMS
1 - 0
ZVI
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ZVI
3 - 2
GOR
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 0
RAD
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
ZVI
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
TRA
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JED
2 - 0
SLO
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 0
SLO
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
ČEL
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
0 - 0
SLO
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |