Zurich vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 3
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCV
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
VCF
42%
26%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 1
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALM
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 3
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |