Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
NEX
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
THU
2 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
77%
15%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |